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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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FALLACIES Logical errors in an argument or evaluation of a policy. The six common fallacies that surface in economic analysis are: false cause, personal attack, division, composition, false authority, and mass appeal. These fallacies are most troublesome because, although false, they seem correct, especially when used by slick-talking, charismatic people (politicians) or when the fallacies support preconceived notions or fundamental beliefs.
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The Sick State Of HEALTH CAREOur pedestrian's guide to the economy would be remiss if we failed to stroll past the Shady Valley Memorial Hospital and my very own physician's place of business, the Dr. Dowrimple T. Bedside Family Clinic, to examine the considerable controversy over health care. A debate has raged for years over health care in the United States, including, but not limited to, the quality of services, their cost, their slice of the economic pie, who pays, who doesn't, and who should.
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GRAY SKITTERY
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time watching infomercials looking to buy either a case for your designer sunglasses or arch supports for your shoes. Be on the lookout for mail order catalogs with hidden messages.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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The Dow Jones family of stock market price indexes began with a simple average of 11 stock prices in 1884.
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"No great performance ever came from holding back. " -- Don Greene, motivational coach, former Green Beret
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