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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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DEPOSIT EXPANSION MULTIPLIER

The ratio of the change in checkable deposits to the change in reserves, which indicates the magnified change in deposits resulting from a change in reserves. The deposit expansion multiplier indicates how many checkable deposits are created with an injection of additional reserves into the banking system. As the name suggests, the change in checkable deposits is typically a multiple of the initial change in reserves. The size of the deposit expansion multiplier depends on the reserve requirement ratio. The deposit expansion multiplier also forms the core of the money multiplier.

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