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RECESSION: The common term used for the contraction phase of the business cycle. A general period of declining economic activity. During a recession, real gross domestic product declines by 10 percent or so and the unemployment rate rises from it's full employment 5 percent level up to the 6 to 10 percent range. Inflation tends to be low or non-existent during a recession. Recession last anywhere from six to eighteen months, with one year being common.

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PATERNALISM

A fundamental philosophical viewpoint that the private sector (households and businesses) needs to be closely supervised by the public sector (government). In other words, members of society need to be watched over, cared for, and kept out of trouble, like parents watch over, care for, and keep their children out of trouble.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching for rummage sales hoping to buy either a key chain with a built-in flashlight and panic button or a green and yellow striped sweater vest. Be on the lookout for cardboard boxes.
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Two and a half gallons of oil are needed to produce one automobile tire.
"I have no expectation of making a hit every time I come to bat. What I seek is the highest possible batting average."

-- President Franklin Delano Roosevelt

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Regression Analysis of Time Series (software)
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