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BUSINESS CYCLES: The recurring expansions and contractions of the national economy (usually measured by real gross domestic product). A complete cycle typically lasts from three to five years, but could last ten years or more. It is divided into four phases -- expansion, peak, contraction, and trough. Unemployment inevitably rises during contractions and inflation tends to worsen during expansions. To avoid the inflation and unemployment problems of business cycles, the federal government frequently undertakes various fiscal and monetary policies.

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PRICE FLOOR

A legally established minimum price that is imposed on a market ABOVE the price that otherwise would be achieved in equilibrium. A price floor is placed on a market with the goal of keeping the price high, presumably based on the notion that the equilibrium price is too low. If imposed on a competitive market free of market failures, a price floor creates a surplus, or excess supply.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at an auction looking to buy either a rechargeable flashlight or storage boxes for your computer software CDs. Be on the lookout for the last item on a shelf.
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Before 1933, the U.S. dime was legal as payment only in transactions of $10 or less.
"Failure is the opportunity to begin again, more intelligently. "

-- Henry Ford, automobile manufacturer

ARIMA
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
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