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FORECASTING: The process of anticipating and predicting economic conditions months or years before fact using statistical estimation techniques the model economic activity. Forecasting most often employs sophisticated mathematical models (with hundreds equations). However, specific measures (such as the stock market) or composite indexes that have been shown to lead economic activity (that is, leading economic indicator) are also effectively used for forecasting.

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VARIABLES

Quantities, usually represented as symbols, that can take on one of a set of values. A variable is "variable" because its value can "vary." A primary goal of economic analysis is to determine the specific value that a variable takes on under specific circumstances.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time watching the shopping channel seeking to buy either a pair of designer sunglasses or looseleaf notebook paper. Be on the lookout for the last item on a shelf.
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Francis Bacon (1561-1626), a champion of the scientific method, died when he caught a severe cold while attempting to preserve a chicken by filling it with snow.
"In a restless, creative business with an emphasis on experiment and development, ideas are the lifeblood."

-- Richard Branson, Virgin Group founder

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