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BALANCED-BUDGET MULTIPLIER: The ratio of the change in aggregate output (GDP) to a change in government spending, which are matched by an equal change in taxes. This is termed a balanced-budget multiplier because the change in spending is matched by the change in taxes and thus the government's budget deficit or surplus is neither increased nor decreased. If the government had a balanced budget before the changes, then it has one after the changes.
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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS Ten economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points about three to twelve months before they occur. Leading economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are coincident economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.
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WHITE GULLIBON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time waiting for visits from door-to-door solicitors wanting to buy either a T-shirt commemorating the first day of spring or a coffee cup commemorating last Friday (you know why). Be on the lookout for deranged pelicans.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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Helping spur the U.S. industrial revolution, Thomas Edison patented nearly 1300 inventions, 300 of which came out of his Menlo Park "invention factory" during a four-year period.
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"It takes generosity to discover the whole through others. If you realize you are only a violin, you can open yourself up to the world by playing your role in the concert. " -- Jacques Yves Cousteau, marine explorer
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ARCH
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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