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ENDOGENOUS VARIABLE: A variable that is identified within the workings of the model. Also termed a dependent variable, an endogenous variable is in essence the "output" of the model. It should be compared with an exogenous variable this is the "input" of the model.

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UNCERTAINTY

The observation and recognition that information, especially information about the future, is not known. While any number of events might occur in the future, uncertainty exists because which specific events will occur is unknown. A related concept is risk, which is assigning probabilities to potential future outcomes. Uncertainty is a central component in the economic study of information.

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ORANGE REBELOON
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time wandering around the shopping mall looking to buy either decorative picture frames or storage boxes for your income tax returns. Be on the lookout for neighborhood pets, especially belligerent parrots.
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Before 1933, the U.S. dime was legal as payment only in transactions of $10 or less.
"The work of the individual still remains the spark that moves mankind forward. "

-- Igor Sikorsky, aeronautical engineer

IGARCH
Integrated Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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