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October 20, 2026 

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JOBLESS CLAIMS: The number of people filing for the first time to receive unemployment compensation benefits during a given time period, usually one week. Jobless claims are key indicator of current economic activity and are one of twelve leading economic indicators that forecast business cycle activity. A rise in jobless claims is a clear indication that fewer people are employed, the unemployment rate is on the rise, and the economy is headed into a contraction.

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ASSUMPTION

An initial condition or statement of a model or theory that sets the stage for an analysis by abstracting from the real world. Assumptions are important to economic analysis. Some assumptions are used to simplify a complex analysis into more easily manageable parts. Other assumptions are used as control conditions that are subsequently changed to evaluate the consequences.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time wandering around the downtown area seeking to buy either a coffee cup commemorating last Friday (you know why) or a wall poster commemorating the first day of spring. Be on the lookout for empty parking spaces that appear to be near the entrance to a store.
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The 22.6% decline in stock prices on October 19, 1987 was larger than the infamous 12.8% decline on October 29, 1929.
"Failure is the opportunity to begin again, more intelligently. "

-- Henry Ford, automobile manufacturer

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Long Run Aggregate Supply
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