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POTENTIAL REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: The total real output (real gross domestic product) that the economy could produce if resources are fully employed. In other words, the economy is operating ON the production possibilities frontier. Full employment is generally indicated by achieving what is termed the natural unemployment rate, which is an unemployment rate in the neighborhood of about 5%. If the economy is at full employment then actual gross domestic product is equal to potential gross domestic product and the actual unemployment rate is equal to the natural unemployment rate. The macroeconomy is thus living up to its potential, at least in terms of producing wants-and-needs satisfying goods and services.
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LONG-RUN TREND The pattern of potential real gross domestic product of an economy based on full employment of available resources. The long-run trend is commonly represented as a positively-sloped line in a diagram depicting business-cycle phases. This slope captures the economy's expansion in its production possibilities resulting from increases in the quantity and quality of resources.
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