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RECOVERY: A early expansionary phase of the business cycle shortly after a contraction has ended, but before a full-blown expansion begins. During a recovery, the unemployment rate remains relatively high, but it is beginning to fall. Real gross domestic product has begun to increase, usually rapidly. However, because the contraction remains fresh in the minds of many, it may not be immediately clear that the trough of the contraction has been reached.
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IMPACT LAG The time lag that occurs between the implementation of a government policy designed to correct an economic problem and the complete impact of the policy. The impact lag is based on the multiplier process and can last up to a year or two or even longer. This "outside lag" is one of four policy lags associated with monetary and fiscal policy. The other three "inside lags" are recognition lag, decision lag, and implementation lag. All four policy lags can reduce the effectiveness of business-cycle stabilization policies and can even destabilize the economy.
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RED AGGRESSERINE
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching for a specialty store looking to buy either a birthday greeting card for your grandmother or a coffee cup commemorating yesterday. Be on the lookout for bottles of barbeque sauce that act TOO innocent.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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A half gallon milk jug holds about $50 in pennies.
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"Never let the fear of striking out get in your way. " -- Babe Ruth
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BVAR
Bayesian VAR (Vector Autoregression)
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