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LAGGING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of seven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months after the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These statistics paint a pretty clear picture of what the economy was doing a few months back. Lagging economic indicators lag the turning points of the aggregate economy by 3-12 months. After a contraction begins, lagging indicators decline 3 to 12 months later. And 3 to 12 months after a expansion begins, lagging indicators rise.
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UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MEASUREMENT PROBLEMS The official unemployment rate, which measures the proportion of the civilian labor force 16 years or older that is not engaged in productive activities but is actively seeking employment, might be either overstated or understated due to discouraged workers, part-time workers, and unreported legal or illegal employment. Taken together, these measurement problems suggest that the official unemployment rate is likely understated during business-cycle contraction and overstated during business-cycle expansions.
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YELLOW CHIPPEROON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a dollar discount store hoping to buy either looseleaf notebook paper or a three-hole paper punch. Be on the lookout for mail order catalogs with hidden messages.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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Mark Twain said "I wonder how much it would take to buy soap buble if there was only one in the world."
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"Success is more a function of consistent common sense than it is of genius. " -- An Wang, industrialist
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IBS
International Bank for Settlements
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