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October 13, 2026 

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RISK: The possibility of gain or loss. Risk the calculated probability of different events happening, is usually contrasted with uncertainty the possibility that any number of things could happen. For example, uncertainty is the possibility that you could win or lose $100 on the flip of a coin. You don't know which will happen, it could go either way. Risk, in contrast, is the 50 percent chance of winning $100 and the 50 percent chance of losing $100 on the flip of the coin. You know (or think you know) that your probability of winning or losing is 50 percent because the coin has a 50 percent chance of coming up either heads or tails.

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SLOPE, AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES LINE

The positive slope of the aggregate expenditures line is the sum of the marginal propensity to consume (MPC), marginal propensity to invest (MPI), and marginal propensity for government purchases (MPG), less the marginal propensity to import (MPM). This slope is greater than zero but less than one, reflecting induced expenditures by the four macroeconomic sectors (household, business, government, and foreign). The slope of the aggregate expenditures line determines the magnitude of the multiplier process.

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GREEN LOGIGUIN
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching for rummage sales looking to buy either decorative celebrity figurines or a flower arrangement with anything but tulips for your grandfather. Be on the lookout for deranged pelicans.
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Francis Bacon (1561-1626), a champion of the scientific method, died when he caught a severe cold while attempting to preserve a chicken by filling it with snow.
"Nothing ever built arose to touch the skies unless some man dreamed that it should, some man believed that it could, and some man willed that it must. "

-- Charles Kettering, inventor

NAG
Net Annual Gain
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