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RISK PREMIUM: This has two very closely related uses. First, it's what risk averse people are willing to pay to avoid a risky situation. For example, if you would be equally happy with a guaranteed $900 or a 50-50 chance of getting either $500 or $1,500, then you're risk premium is $100. Second, it's the extra percentage points added to an interest rate to compensate for the risk of a loan. As a general rule, each 1 percent chance of default on a loan adds a risk premium of about 1 percent to the interest rate.

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EXPANSION

A phase of the business cycle characterized by a general period of rising economic activity. An expansion is one of two basic business cycle phases. The other is contraction. The transition from expansion to contraction is termed a peak and the transition from contraction to expansion is termed a trough. The early phase of an expansion is commonly termed a recovery.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time wandering around the shopping mall wanting to buy either arch supports for your shoes or an AC adapter that works with your MPG player. Be on the lookout for slow moving vehicles with darkened windows.
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Okun's Law posits that the unemployment rate increases by 1% for every 2% gap between real GDP and full-employment real GDP.
"New ideas pass through three periods: - It can't be done. - It probably can be done, but it's not worth doing. - I knew it was a good idea all along!"

-- Arthur C. Clarke

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