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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT

The total market value of all final goods and services produced by the citizens of an economy during a given period of time, usually one year. Gross national product, often abbreviated simply as GNP, was once the official measure of how much output the U.S. economy produced. In the early 1990s, however, it was replaced by gross domestic product (GDP).

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time looking for the new strip mall out on the highway seeking to buy either a flower arrangement in a coffee cup for your father or a how-to book on meeting people. Be on the lookout for high interest rates.
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The 22.6% decline in stock prices on October 19, 1987 was larger than the infamous 12.8% decline on October 29, 1929.
"The only profit center is the customer. "

-- Peter Drucker, management consultant

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