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POLITICAL BUSINESS CYCLE: The notion that a business cycle is caused by elected government leaders who manipulate the economy to achieve personal political goals -- that is, to remain in office. The leaders stimulate the economy leading up to an election, creating a business-cycle expansion that ensures (they hope) their re-election, then induce a business-cycle contraction after the election to correct problems created by pre-election stimulation.

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Ten economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points about three to twelve months before they occur. Leading economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are coincident economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time waiting for visits from door-to-door solicitors seeking to buy either a Boston Red Sox baseball cap or a square lamp shade with frills along the bottom. Be on the lookout for mail order catalogs with hidden messages.
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Rosemary, long associated with remembrance, was worn as wreaths by students in ancient Greece during exams.
"It is very rare that you meet with obstacles in this world (that) the humblest man has not the faculties to surmount. "

-- Henry David Thoreau, philosopher

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