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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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ASSUMPTIONS, PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES

The four key assumptions underlying production possibilities analysis are: (1) resources are used to produce one or both of only two goods, (2) the quantities of the resources do not change, (3) technology and production techniques do not change, and (4) resources are used in a technically efficient way.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time browsing through a long list of dot com websites trying to buy either rechargeable batteries or a rechargeable battery for your computer. Be on the lookout for door-to-door salesmen.
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John Maynard Keynes was born the same year Karl Marx died.
"The only thing that will stop you from fulfilling your dreams is you. "

-- Tom Bradley, former Los Angeles mayor

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