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RECESSION: The common term used for the contraction phase of the business cycle. A general period of declining economic activity. During a recession, real gross domestic product declines by 10 percent or so and the unemployment rate rises from it's full employment 5 percent level up to the 6 to 10 percent range. Inflation tends to be low or non-existent during a recession. Recession last anywhere from six to eighteen months, with one year being common.

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FALLACIES

Logical errors in an argument or evaluation of a policy. The six common fallacies that surface in economic analysis are: false cause, personal attack, division, composition, false authority, and mass appeal. These fallacies are most troublesome because, although false, they seem correct, especially when used by slick-talking, charismatic people (politicians) or when the fallacies support preconceived notions or fundamental beliefs.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a crowded estate auction seeking to buy either a coffee cup commemorating yesterday or a replacement remote control for your television. Be on the lookout for pencil sharpeners with an attitude.
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Al Capone's business card said he was a used furniture dealer.
"I think luck is the sense to recognize an opportunity and the ability to take advantage of it . The man who can smile at his breaks and grabs his chance gets on."

-- Samuel Goldwyn, Film executive

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Pacific Stock Exchange (US, LA and San Francisco)
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