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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES EQUATION

An equation that summarizes the four aggregate expenditures on gross domestic product by the four macroeconomic sectors. In the study of Keynesian economics, this equation is commonly used to summarize the demand side of the macroeconomy. The aggregate expenditures equation actually comes in three different versions depending on how many of the four sectors and their expenditures are included.

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ORANGE REBELOON
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time watching the shopping channel trying to buy either a case for your designer sunglasses or arch supports for your shoes. Be on the lookout for broken fingernail clippers.
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In the late 1800s and early 1900s, almost 2 million children were employed as factory workers.
"He who hesitates is poor. "

-- Mel Brooks, writer, director, comedian

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Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
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