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January 24, 2026 

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RISK POOLING: Combining the uncertainty of individuals into a calculable risk for large groups. For example, you may or may not contract the flu this year. However, if you're thrown in with 99,999 other people, then health-care types who spend their lives measuring the odds of an illness, can predict that 1 percent of the group, or 1,000 people, will get the flu. The uncertainty is that they probably don't know which 1,000 people, they only know the number afflicted. This little bit of information is what makes risk pooling possible. If the cost is $50 per illness, then an insurance company can insure your 100,000-member group against flu if they collect $50,000 ($50 x 1,000 sick people), or 50 cents per person. By agreeing to pay the cost of each sick person in exchange for the 50 cent payments, the insurance company has effectively pooled the risk of the group.

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SEVENTH RULE OF COMPLEXITY

The seventh of seven basic rules of the economy, stating that every action in the complex world has direct and often intended consequences combined with indirect and probably unintended effects.

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PURPLE SMARPHIN
[What's This?]

Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time watching the shopping channel hoping to buy either a T-shirt commemorating last Friday (you know why) or a rotisserie oven that can also toast bread. Be on the lookout for bottles of barbeque sauce that act TOO innocent.
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This isn't me! What am I?

A scripophilist is one who collects rare stock and bond certificates, usually from extinct companies.
"Wherever you go, no matter what the weather, always bring your own sunshine."

-- Anthony J. D'Angelo

LRMC
Long Run Marginal Cost
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