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BUSINESS CYCLE MEASUREMENT: Three of the most noted and often used measures of business cycle activity are real gross domestic product (especially the growth rate), unemployment rate, and inflation rate. Another group of measures fall under the broad heading of economic indicators and include leading economic indicators, coincident economic indicators, and lagging economic indicators. Real sophisticated economic types also follow measures such as changes in business inventories, Producer Price Index, M2 money supply, durable goods order, and others.

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DECREASING RETURNS TO SCALE

A given proportional change in all resources in the long run results in a proportional smaller change in production. Decreasing returns to scale exists if a firm increases ALL resources--labor, capital, and other inputs--by a given proportion (say 10 percent) and output increases by less than this proportion (that is, less than 10 percent). This is one of three returns to scale. The other two are increasing returns to scale and constant returns to scale.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time browsing about a thrift store seeking to buy either a coffee cup commemorating the first day of spring or a printer that works with your stockpile of ink cartridges. Be on the lookout for mail order catalogs with hidden messages.
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Three-forths of the gold mined each year is used to manufacture jewelry.
"A stumble may prevent a fall. "

-- Margaret Thatcher, British prime minister

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