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KITCHIN CYCLE: A cycle of economic activity lasting between 3 and 5 years that acquired the name of the first economist to study it, Joseph Kitchin. The Kitchin cycle is attributed to investment in inventories (especially for consumer goods). It is the one that is commonly at work when people are concerned with business-cycle contractions. This is also one of four separate cycles of macroeconomic activity that have been documented or hypothesized. The other three are Juglar cycle, Kuznets cycle, and Kondratieff cycle.

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PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES

The official item in the National Income and Product Accounts maintained by the Bureau of Economics Analysis that measures household consumption expenditures on gross domestic product. Personal consumption expenditures are far and away the largest and most stable of the four expenditures, averaging about 65 to 70 percent of gross domestic product. The other official expenditures included in the National Income and Product Accounts are gross private domestic investment, government consumption expenditures and gross investment, and net exports of goods and services.

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BLACK DISMALAPOD
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time going from convenience store to convenience store trying to buy either a wall poster commemorating next Thursday or a pair of gray heavy duty boot socks. Be on the lookout for jovial bank tellers.
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Two and a half gallons of oil are needed to produce one automobile tire.
"Believe and act as if it were impossible to fail."

-- Charles F. Kettering

EGARCH
Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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