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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES

Policies undertaken by domestic governments often in conjunction with international financial organizations to control exchange rates through foreign exchange markets. The three most common exchange rate policies are flexible exchange rates, fixed exchange rates, and managed flexible exchange rates. Flexible exchange rates are allowed to adjust through unrestrained forces of demand and supply in the foreign exchange market. Fixed exchange rates are established at a given level. Managed flexible exchange rates are allowed to change within boundaries, but subject to control if they change too much.

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BROWN PRAGMATOX
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time visiting every yard sale in a 30-mile radius looking to buy either a T-shirt commemorating the 2000 Olympics or a genuine fake plastic Tiffany lamp. Be on the lookout for empty parking spaces that appear to be near the entrance to a store.
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In 1914, Ford paid workers who were age 22 or older $5 per day -- double the average wage offered by other car factories.
"Man is born to live, not to prepare for life. "

-- Boris Pasternak, writer

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United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
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