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FISCAL BUDGET: A statement of the financial position of government during its fiscal year based on estimates of anticipated tax revenues and expenditures. The U.S. Federal government's fiscal budget is the source of, and lends its name to, fiscal policy.

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Ten economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points about three to twelve months before they occur. Leading economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are coincident economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.

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Okun's Law posits that the unemployment rate increases by 1% for every 2% gap between real GDP and full-employment real GDP.
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NYFE
New York Futures Exchange
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