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SMITH, ADAM: A Scottish professor (born 1723, died 1790) who is considered the father of modern economics for his revolutionary book, entitled An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations published in 1776.

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Ten economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points about three to twelve months before they occur. Leading economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are coincident economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.

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APLS

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching the newspaper want ads looking to buy either a three-hole paper punch or decorative picture frames. Be on the lookout for cardboard boxes.
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Okun's Law posits that the unemployment rate increases by 1% for every 2% gap between real GDP and full-employment real GDP.
"Progress always involves risk. You can't steal second base and keep your foot on first. "

-- Frederick B. Wilcox

CBI
Confederation of British Industry
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