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RECESSION: The common term used for the contraction phase of the business cycle. A general period of declining economic activity. During a recession, real gross domestic product declines by 10 percent or so and the unemployment rate rises from it's full employment 5 percent level up to the 6 to 10 percent range. Inflation tends to be low or non-existent during a recession. Recession last anywhere from six to eighteen months, with one year being common.

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UTILITY ANALYSIS

A subset of consumer demand theory that analysis consumer behavior and market demand using total utility and marginal utility. The key principle of utility analysis is the law of diminishing marginal utility, which offers an explanation for the law of demand and the negative slope of the demand curve.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time going from convenience store to convenience store seeking to buy either a box of multi-colored, plastic paper clips or several orange mixing bowls. Be on the lookout for malfunctioning pocket calculators.
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A U.S. dime has 118 groves around its edge, one fewer than a U.S. quarter.
"All labor that uplifts humanity has dignity and importance and should be undertaken with painstaking excellence. "

-- Martin Luther King Jr., civil rights leader

BVAR
Bayesian VAR (Vector Autoregression)
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