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ECONOMIC INDICATORS: Numerous economic statistics that provide valuable information about the expansions and contractions of business cycles. These economic statistics are grouped into three sets--lagging, coincident, and leading. Leading economic indicators tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Coincident economic indicators tend to reach their peaks and troughs AT THE SAME TIME as business cycles. Lagging economic indicators tend to rise or fall a few months AFTER business-cycle expansions and contractions.
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INFLATION CAUSES Inflation, the persistent increase in the average price level, can be caused by an increase in aggregate demand or a decrease in aggregate supply. This suggests two basics sources, causes, or types of inflation--demand-pull inflation and cost-push inflation. While short-term bouts of inflation (up to several months) can result from anything (determinant) that might cause either increases in aggregate demand or decreases in aggregate supply, long-term inflation (a year or more) is possible ONLY through persistent increases in the money supply. As such, while demand-pull inflation and cost-push inflation are convenient ways to catalog the transmission mechanisms of inflation, the ultimate CAUSE of inflation is money.
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ORANGE REBELOON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time going from convenience store to convenience store trying to buy either storage boxes for your winter clothes or several magazines on time travel. Be on the lookout for poorly written technical manuals.
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The average length of a "business lunch" is about 36 minutes.
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"Unless you are willing to drench yourself in your work beyond the capacity of the average man, you are just not cut out for positions at the top." -- J. C. Penney, Retailer
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BVAR
Bayesian VAR (Vector Autoregression)
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