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BUSINESS CYCLES: The recurring expansions and contractions of the national economy (usually measured by real gross domestic product). A complete cycle typically lasts from three to five years, but could last ten years or more. It is divided into four phases -- expansion, peak, contraction, and trough. Unemployment inevitably rises during contractions and inflation tends to worsen during expansions. To avoid the inflation and unemployment problems of business cycles, the federal government frequently undertakes various fiscal and monetary policies.

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INFLATION

A persistent increase in the average price level in the economy. It is measured by the inflation rate, the annual percentage change in a price index such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or GDP price deflator. Inflation is the most common phenomenon associated with the price level. Two related phenomena are deflation, a decrease in the price level, and disinflation, a decrease in the inflation rate. Inflation is one of two key macroeconomic problems. The other is unemployment.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time lost in your local discount super center trying to buy either a black duffle bag with velcro closures or any book written by Isaac Asimov. Be on the lookout for telephone calls from former employers.
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Junk bonds are so called because they have a better than 50% chance of default, carrying a Standard & Poor's rating of CC or lower.
"As is our confidence, so is our capacity. "

-- William Hazlitt, essayist

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