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RISK: The possibility of gain or loss. Risk the calculated probability of different events happening, is usually contrasted with uncertainty the possibility that any number of things could happen. For example, uncertainty is the possibility that you could win or lose $100 on the flip of a coin. You don't know which will happen, it could go either way. Risk, in contrast, is the 50 percent chance of winning $100 and the 50 percent chance of losing $100 on the flip of the coin. You know (or think you know) that your probability of winning or losing is 50 percent because the coin has a 50 percent chance of coming up either heads or tails.

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CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE

A nonpartisan governmental support agency that provides Congress with analyses needed for economic and budget decisions and with the information and estimates required for the Congressional budget process. The Congressional Budget Office was created by the Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974. It began operating on February 24, 1975. The Congressional Budget Office is composed primarily of economists and public policy analysts. About 70 percent of its professional staff hold advanced degrees in either economics or public policy.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a dollar discount store hoping to buy either a pair of gray heavy duty boot socks or a 50-foot blue garden hose. Be on the lookout for crowded shopping malls.
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Junk bonds are so called because they have a better than 50% chance of default, carrying a Standard & Poor's rating of CC or lower.
"Divide each difficulty into as many parts as is feasible and necessary to resolve it."

-- Rene Descartes

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