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April 18, 2026 

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FALLACY OF FALSE CAUSE: The logical fallacy of arguing that two events that are correlated (that is, happen at about the same time), are assumed to have a causal connection. In other words, one event causes the other. This was one of the more common fallacies committed by ancient ancestors. During the last full moon, your dog died. Obviously the full moon killed your dog. While this might seem reasonable to anyone spending their lives eating mastodon meat and sleeping in caves, it's actually the fallacy of false cause.

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RECOGNITION LAG

The time lag that it takes to identify and document the existence of an economic problem that might require government action. The recognition lag arises because it takes time to collect and analyze economic data; to verify that an actual problem exists. This "inside lag" is one of four policy lags associated with monetary and fiscal policy. The other two "inside lags" are decision lag and implementation lag, and one "outside lag" is implementation lag. All four policy lags can reduce the effectiveness of business-cycle stabilization policies and can even destabilize the economy.

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BLUE PLACIDOLA
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time calling an endless list of 800 numbers trying to buy either a T-shirt commemorating the first day of winter or software that won't crash your computer. Be on the lookout for strangers with large satchels of used undergarments.
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The New York Stock Exchange was established by a group of investors in New York City in 1817 under a buttonwood tree at the end of a little road named Wall Street.
"The best way to cheer yourself up is to try to cheer somebody else up."

-- Mark Twain

QJE
Quarterly Journal of Economics
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