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HARD MONEY: Historically money that is in the form of precious metals, especially gold. In modern times, any national currency that is expected to retain its value (and even appreciate in value), and is readily acceptable for most international transactions. The U.S. dollar, German marc, and Swiss franc tend to be near the top of the list of hard money (also termed hard currency).

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Ten economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points about three to twelve months before they occur. Leading economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are coincident economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.

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ORANGE REBELOON
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at an auction looking to buy either a birthday greeting card for your mother that doesn't look like a greeting card or a handcrafted spice rack. Be on the lookout for defective microphones.
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The Dow Jones family of stock market price indexes began with a simple average of 11 stock prices in 1884.
"There is no twilight zone of honesty in business. A thing is right or it's wrong. It's black or it's white. "

-- John F. Dodge, automaker

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Bayesian VAR (Vector Autoregression)
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