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YIELD CURVE: A curve plotting the yields (or returns) on securities with different maturity lengths. The standard yield is for U.S. Treasury securities with lengths ranging from 90 days to 30 years. The five maturity lengths are usually 90 day, 180 day, 2 year, 5 year, 10 year, and 30 year. The shape and slope fo the yield curve indicates the state of the economy and what's likely to come. A normal yield curve has a slight positive slope, with slightly higher yields for longer maturity securities. A steep yield curve suggests the end of a contraction and beginning of an expansion. An inverted, or negatively sloped yield curve is the sign of an upcoming contraction.

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COINCIDENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Four economic statistics that tend to move up or down along WITH business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points when they actually occur. Coincident economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are leading economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching the newspaper want ads seeking to buy either a revolving spice rack or a how-to book on home repairs. Be on the lookout for crowded shopping malls.
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The Dow Jones family of stock market price indexes began with a simple average of 11 stock prices in 1884.
"We should never allow ourselves to be bullied by an either-or. There is often the possibility of something better than either of those two alternatives. "

-- Mary Parker Follett, management coach

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Federal Reserve System
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