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September 19, 2026 

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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NATURAL SELECTION

The notion that firms best suited to the economic environment on the ones that tend to survive. The natural selection of business firms is an adaptation of the biological process of natural selection, in which biological entities best suited to the natural environment are the ones that survive. The concept of economic natural selection is aimed primarily at the profit-maximization assumption. Although firms might not seek to maximize profit on a day-to-day basis, those that come closest (intentionally or unintentionally) are the ones that remain in business.

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APLS

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a garage sale seeking to buy either decorative garden figurines or a wall poster commemorating last Friday (you know why). Be on the lookout for strangers with large satchels of used undergarments.
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More money is spent on gardening than on any other hobby.
"When you play, play hard; when you work, don't play at all. "

-- Theodore Roosevelt, 26th US president

AACT
American Assocation of Commodity Traders
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