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AFL-CIO: The umbrella organization for many labor unions in the United States, with AFL standing for American Federation of Labor, and CIO the abbreviation of Congress of Industrial Organizations. The AFL-CIO began as just the AFL in 1886 as a collection of craft unions representing skilled workers. It expanded to include semiskilled and unskilled workers represented by industrial unions. Differing interests among the two groups lead to a division of the original AFL in 1938 into two separate groups -- the AFL containing craft unions and CIO containing industrial unions. This rift was closed in 1955, when the AFL and CIO merged to form the AFL-CIO.

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RISK

The quantitative probability of different future outcomes occurring. The assignment of probabilities can be subjective (based on a "feeling") or objective (based on historical data). Risk is related to the concept of uncertainty, which is simply not knowing what the future holds. People have three alternative preferences when confronting risk -- risk aversion, risk neutrality, and risk loving. Risk aversion is key to the provision of insurance.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at an auction wanting to buy either any book written by Stephan King or a T-shirt commemorating next Thursday. Be on the lookout for door-to-door salesmen.
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The average bank teller loses about $250 every year.
"God gives talent; work transforms talent into genius. "

-- Anna Pavlova, ballerina

ARIMA
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
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