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RECOGNITION LAG: In the context of economic policies, the time between a shock to the economy and realization that the shock has occurred. This is one of several policy lags that limit the effectiveness of stabilization policies designed to correct business-cycle fluctuations. This is also one of two inside lags. The other is an implementation lag. Also termed identification lag, the recognition lag emerges due to the time needed to measure economic activity. While the lag is generally positive, it actually can be negative through accurate forecasting techniques. When negative policies can be undertaken to correct a problem before it occurs.

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EXPORTS LINE

A graphical depiction of the relation between exports sold to the foreign sector and the economy's aggregate level of income or production. This relation is most important for deriving the net exports line, which plays a minor, but growing role in the study of Keynesian economics. An exports line is horizontal which indicates that exports are totally autonomous, with no induced component. The aggregate expenditures line used in Keynesian economics is derived by adding or stacking the net exports line, derived as the difference between the exports line and imports line, onto the consumption line, after adding investment expenditures and government purchases.

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YELLOW CHIPPEROON
[What's This?]

Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time flipping through mail order catalogs trying to buy either a bottle of blackcherry flavored spring water or a travel case for you toothbrush. Be on the lookout for letters from the Internal Revenue Service.
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This isn't me! What am I?

Natural gas has no odor. The smell is added artificially so that leaks can be detected.
"The roots of education are bitter, but the fruit is sweet."

-- Aristotle

ARIMA
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
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