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FORECASTING: The process of anticipating and predicting economic conditions months or years before fact using statistical estimation techniques the model economic activity. Forecasting most often employs sophisticated mathematical models (with hundreds equations). However, specific measures (such as the stock market) or composite indexes that have been shown to lead economic activity (that is, leading economic indicator) are also effectively used for forecasting.

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CLASSICAL AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE

An aggregate supply curve--a graphical representation of the relation between real production and the price level--that reflects the basic principles of classical economics. The classical aggregate supply curve is vertical at the full-employment level of real production indicating that the quantity of aggregate production is independent of the price level. An alternative is the Keynesian aggregate supply curve.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a dollar discount store seeking to buy either car battery jumper cables or a dozen high trajectory optic orange golf balls. Be on the lookout for pencil sharpeners with an attitude.
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The 22.6% decline in stock prices on October 19, 1987 was larger than the infamous 12.8% decline on October 29, 1929.
"It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it."

-- Aristotle

CPI-U
Consumer Price Index-All Urban Consumers
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