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BUSINESS CYCLE: The recurring expansions and contractions of the national economy (usually measured by real gross domestic product). A complete cycle typically lasts from three to five years, but could last ten years or more. It is divided into four phases -- expansion, peak, contraction, and trough. Unemployment inevitably rises during contractions and inflation tends to worsen during expansions. To avoid the inflation and unemployment problems of business cycles, the federal government frequently undertakes various fiscal and monetary policies.

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UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MEASUREMENT PROBLEMS

The official unemployment rate, which measures the proportion of the civilian labor force 16 years or older that is not engaged in productive activities but is actively seeking employment, might be either overstated or understated due to discouraged workers, part-time workers, and unreported legal or illegal employment. Taken together, these measurement problems suggest that the official unemployment rate is likely understated during business-cycle contraction and overstated during business-cycle expansions.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time lost in your local discount super center looking to buy either a revolving spice rack or a how-to book on home repairs. Be on the lookout for vindictive digital clocks with revenge on their minds.
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Mark Twain said "I wonder how much it would take to buy soap buble if there was only one in the world."
"We succeed in enterprises (that) demand the positive qualities we possess, but we excel in those (that) can also make use of our defects. "

-- Alexis de Tocqueville, statesman, author

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