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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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SCIENTIFIC METHOD A structured way of investigating and explaining the operation of the world by testing and verifying hypothesized relations. The scientific method is a process of discovery, a method of explaining the way the world operates. Positive economics is the application of the scientific method to economic analysis.
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YELLOW CHIPPEROON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time strolling around a discount warehouse buying club trying to buy either car battery jumper cables or a dozen high trajectory optic orange golf balls. Be on the lookout for defective microphones.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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Al Capone's business card said he was a used furniture dealer.
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"After climbing a great hill, one finds many more hills to climb. " -- Nelson Mandela, president of South Africa
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GARCH
Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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