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RISK POOLING: Combining the uncertainty of individuals into a calculable risk for large groups. For example, you may or may not contract the flu this year. However, if you're thrown in with 99,999 other people, then health-care types who spend their lives measuring the odds of an illness, can predict that 1 percent of the group, or 1,000 people, will get the flu. The uncertainty is that they probably don't know which 1,000 people, they only know the number afflicted. This little bit of information is what makes risk pooling possible. If the cost is $50 per illness, then an insurance company can insure your 100,000-member group against flu if they collect $50,000 ($50 x 1,000 sick people), or 50 cents per person. By agreeing to pay the cost of each sick person in exchange for the 50 cent payments, the insurance company has effectively pooled the risk of the group.
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AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION A formal organization of professional economists that promotes economic research, organizes annual meetings and conferences, and maintains a list of publications in several economics subjects. The American Economic Association (AEA) was originally organized by a small group interested in economics at a meeting in 1888 in Saratoga, New York. However, as interest in the subject grew, it officially incorporated in 1923. Although the AEA contained only a small number of members in the beginning, today the membership is approximately 18,000. In addition, about 4,600 libraries, institutions, and firms subscribe to the quarterly publications of the AEA.
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BROWN PRAGMATOX
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time browsing about a thrift store wanting to buy either a T-shirt commemorating last Friday (you know why) or a rotisserie oven that can also toast bread. Be on the lookout for florescent light bulbs that hum folk songs from the sixties.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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Rosemary, long associated with remembrance, was worn as wreaths by students in ancient Greece during exams.
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"The greatest use of life is to spend it for something that will outlast it." -- William James, psychologist
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ARMA
Autoregressive Moving Average
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