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RECESSION: The common term used for the contraction phase of the business cycle. A general period of declining economic activity. During a recession, real gross domestic product declines by 10 percent or so and the unemployment rate rises from it's full employment 5 percent level up to the 6 to 10 percent range. Inflation tends to be low or non-existent during a recession. Recession last anywhere from six to eighteen months, with one year being common.

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INJECTIONS

Non-consumption expenditures on aggregate production. The three aggregate expenditures grouped under the heading of injections are investment expenditures, government purchases and exports. Injections add to the core circular flow containing consumption, production, and income. The injections-leakages model is a Keynesian economics analysis that combines injections with leakages (saving, taxes, and imports) to identify the equilibrium level of aggregate production and income.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time looking for the new strip mall out on the highway looking to buy either a birthday gift for your aunt or a pair of leather sandals that won't cause blisters. Be on the lookout for florescent light bulbs that hum folk songs from the sixties.
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Natural gas has no odor. The smell is added artificially so that leaks can be detected.
"You can't build a reputation on what you are going to do."

-- Henry Ford, automaker

GARCH
Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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