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FORECASTING: The process of anticipating and predicting economic conditions months or years before fact using statistical estimation techniques the model economic activity. Forecasting most often employs sophisticated mathematical models (with hundreds equations). However, specific measures (such as the stock market) or composite indexes that have been shown to lead economic activity (that is, leading economic indicator) are also effectively used for forecasting.
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EXPLICIT COST An opportunity cost that involves a monetary payment or some other form of compensation. The monetary payment is generally made to compensate the person who initially foregoes the satisfaction. This payment, in effect, transfers the burden of the opportunity cost from the original person to the one making payment. Explicit cost is also commonly termed out-of-pocket or accounting cost, and occasionally explicit opportunity cost.
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In the Middle Ages, pepper was used for bartering, and it was often more valuable and stable in value than gold.
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"Something in human nature causes us to start slacking off at our moment of greatest accomplishment. As you become successful, you will need a great deal of self-discipline not to lose your sense of balance, humility and commitment." -- H. Ross Perot
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AIC Akaike's Information Criterion
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