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DISINFLATION: A decline in the inflation rate. With disinflation, prices are still rising, they're just not rising as fast. Numerically speaking, if the inflation rate was 10% last year, 6% this year, and looks to be 4% next year, then we have disinflation. Disinflation, a reduction in the inflation rate, is not the same as deflation, a decline in the price level. Prices continue to rise with disinflation, just not as fast. Should disinflation continue, presumably because anti-inflationary monetary or fiscal policies are working effectively, then the average price level could decline and we make the transition to deflation.
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SUPPLY SHOCK A disruption of market equilibrium caused by a change in a supply determinant and a shift of the supply curve. A supply shock can take one of two forms--a supply increase or a supply decrease. This is one of two disruptions of the market. The other is a demand shock.
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The average length of a "business lunch" is about 36 minutes.
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"God grants victory to perseverance. " -- Simon Bolivar, South American liberator
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ARMA
Autoregressive Moving Average
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