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BUSINESS CYCLE PHASES: The recurring, but irregular, pattern of business cycles can be divided into two basic phases -- expansion and contraction. An expansion is a period of increasing economic activity and a contraction is a period of declining economic activity. These two phases are marked by two transitions. The transition from expansion to contraction is termed a peak and the transition from contraction to expansion is termed a trough. The early portion of an expansion is often referred to as a recovery.

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EQUILIBRIUM, SHORT-RUN AGGREGATE MARKET

The state of equilibrium that exists in the short-run aggregate market when real aggregate expenditures are equal to full-employment real production with no imbalances to induce changes in the price level or real production. The opposing forces of aggregate demand (the buyers) and short-run aggregate supply (the sellers) exactly offset each other. At the existing price level, the four macroeconomic sectors (household, business, government, and foreign) purchase all of the real production that they seek and producers sell all of the real production that they have.

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APLS

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time waiting for visits from door-to-door solicitors hoping to buy either a wall poster commemorating the 2000 Presidential election or a rechargeable flashlight. Be on the lookout for poorly written technical manuals.
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Lombard Street is London's equivalent of New York's Wall Street.
"Nothing will ever be attempted if all possible objections must first be overcome. "

-- Samuel Johnson, essayist, critic, lexicographer

AR(N)
A nth-order Autoregressive Process
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