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FALLACY OF FALSE CAUSE: The logical fallacy of arguing that two events that are correlated (that is, happen at about the same time), are assumed to have a causal connection. In other words, one event causes the other. This was one of the more common fallacies committed by ancient ancestors. During the last full moon, your dog died. Obviously the full moon killed your dog. While this might seem reasonable to anyone spending their lives eating mastodon meat and sleeping in caves, it's actually the fallacy of false cause.

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SIMPLE EXPENDITURES MULTIPLIER

A measure of the change in aggregate production caused by changes in an autonomous expenditure that shocks the macroeconomy, when consumption is the ONLY induced expenditure. The simple expenditures multiplier is the inverse of one minus the marginal propensity to consume, or more simply the inverse of the marginal propensity to save. A related multiplier is the simple tax multiplier, which measures the change in aggregate production caused by changes in taxes.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time flipping through mail order catalogs hoping to buy either a handcrafted bird house or a weathervane with a chicken on top. Be on the lookout for empty parking spaces that appear to be near the entrance to a store.
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In the Middle Ages, pepper was used for bartering, and it was often more valuable and stable in value than gold.
"Believe and act as if it were impossible to fail."

-- Charles F. Kettering

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