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July 12, 2025 

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KITCHIN CYCLE: A cycle of economic activity lasting between 3 and 5 years that acquired the name of the first economist to study it, Joseph Kitchin. The Kitchin cycle is attributed to investment in inventories (especially for consumer goods). It is the one that is commonly at work when people are concerned with business-cycle contractions. This is also one of four separate cycles of macroeconomic activity that have been documented or hypothesized. The other three are Juglar cycle, Kuznets cycle, and Kondratieff cycle.

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POSITIVE RELATION: A relation, either a principle or hypothesis, in which an increase one variable is associated with an increase in the other variable. A positive, or direct, relation is most commonly illustrated by an upward sloping line. It can also be represented by an equation in which the slope value is positive.

     See also | slope | variable | negative relation | graph | economic analysis | principle | hypothesis | scientific method |


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ADVERSE SELECTION

An inefficient, bad, or adverse outcome of a market exchange that results because buyers and/or sellers make decisions based on asymmetric information. This commonly results in a market that exchanges a lesser quality good, what is termed the market for lemons. Two related problems resulting from asymmetric information are moral hazard and the principal-agent problem. Two methods of lessoning the problem of adverse selection are signalling and screening.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time visiting every yard sale in a 30-mile radius trying to buy either a wall poster commemorating yesterday or pink cotton balls. Be on the lookout for slightly overweight pizza delivery guys.
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Junk bonds are so called because they have a better than 50% chance of default, carrying a Standard & Poor's rating of CC or lower.
"What gets measured gets done."

-- Peter Drucker, educator

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