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July 18, 2025 

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RISK: The possibility of gain or loss. Risk the calculated probability of different events happening, is usually contrasted with uncertainty the possibility that any number of things could happen. For example, uncertainty is the possibility that you could win or lose $100 on the flip of a coin. You don't know which will happen, it could go either way. Risk, in contrast, is the 50 percent chance of winning $100 and the 50 percent chance of losing $100 on the flip of the coin. You know (or think you know) that your probability of winning or losing is 50 percent because the coin has a 50 percent chance of coming up either heads or tails.

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SWITCHING POINT: The price/time at which the economy switches from the use of one (usually finite) natural resource to a substitute resource. The switching point is reached because increases in scarcity rent and marginal extraction cost cause a gradual depletion of a finite natural resource. As the price rises, buyers search for less expensive substitutes. Eventually the price of a finite resource is equal to the price of a substitute resource. This is the switching point. For example, we are not likely to awaken one day to discover the world's oil supply is gone. Before such time occurs, we will have switched to substitute products like oil shale, gasohol, geothermal, or solar.

     See also | price | natural resources | scarcity rent | backstop resource | materials balance | recycling |


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ASSUMPTIONS, CLASSICAL ECONOMICS

Classical economics, especially as directed toward macroeconomics, relies on three key assumptions--flexible prices, Say's law, and saving-investment equality. Flexible prices ensure that markets adjust to equilibrium and eliminate shortages and surpluses. Say's law states that supply creates its own demand and means that enough income is generated by production to purchase the resulting production. The saving-investment equality ensures that any income leaked from consumption into saving is replaced by an equal amount of investment. Although of questionable realism, these three assumptions imply that the economy would operate at full employment.

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