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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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MARGINAL REVENUE PRODUCT

The change in total revenue resulting from a unit change in a variable input, keeping all other inputs unchanged. Marginal revenue product, usually abbreviated MRP, is found by dividing the change in total revenue by the change in the variable input or by multiplying marginal physical product by marginal revenue. This is also termed value of the marginal product. Marginal revenue product is a key concept for understanding the demand for productive inputs.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time lost in your local discount super center hoping to buy either a box of multi-colored, plastic paper clips or several orange mixing bowls. Be on the lookout for malfunctioning pocket calculators.
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The 22.6% decline in stock prices on October 19, 1987 was larger than the infamous 12.8% decline on October 29, 1929.
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