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IDENTIFICATION LAG: In the context of economic policies, the time between a shock to the economy and realization that the shock has occurred. This is one of several policy lags that limit the effectiveness of stabilization policies designed to correct business-cycle fluctuations. This is also one of two inside lags. The other is an implementation lag. Also termed recognition lag, the identification lag emerges due to the time needed to measure economic activity. While the lag is generally positive, it actually can be negative through accurate forecasting techniques. When negative policies can be undertaken to correct a problem before it occurs.
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FALLACY OF FALSE CAUSE The logical fallacy of arguing that two events have a causal connection because they are correlated (that is, happen at about the same time). In other words, one event is erroneously assumed to cause the other. This fallacy is the nemesis of the ongoing scientific pursuit to discover the laws of cause and effect.
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BLACK DISMALAPOD
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time going from convenience store to convenience store looking to buy either a large, stuffed kitty cat or a cross-cut paper shredder. Be on the lookout for gnomes hiding in cypress trees.
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The Dow Jones family of stock market price indexes began with a simple average of 11 stock prices in 1884.
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"The shifts of fortune test the reliability of friends. " -- Marcus Tullius Cicero, Roman statesman
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Quantitative Restriction
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