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INDEPENDENT VARIABLE: A variable that is identified outside the workings of the model. Also termed an exogenous variable, an independent variable is in essence the "input" of the model. It should be compared with an endogenous variable this is the "output" of the model.

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Ten economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points about three to twelve months before they occur. Leading economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are coincident economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time flipping through the yellow pages hoping to buy either a handcrafted bird house or a weathervane with a chicken on top. Be on the lookout for spoiled cheese hiding under your bed hatching conspiracies against humanity.
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During the American Revolution, the price of corn rose 10,000 percent, the price of wheat 14,000 percent, the price of flour 15,000 percent, and the price of beef 33,000 percent.
"Difficulty is the excuse history never accepts. "

-- Edward R. Murrow, News broadcaster

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