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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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LEAKAGES

Non-consumption uses of aggregate income. The three uses of income grouped under the heading of leakages are saving, taxes, and imports. Leakages subtract from the core circular flow containing consumption, production, and income. The injections-leakages model is a Keynesian economics analysis that combines leakages with injections (investment expenditures, government purchases and exports) to identify the equilibrium level of aggregate production and income.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time flipping through mail order catalogs wanting to buy either a microwave over that won't burn your popcorn or a T-shirt commemorating the first day of winter. Be on the lookout for fairy dust that tastes like salt.
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In his older years, Andrew Carnegie seldom carried money because he was offended by its sight and touch.
"Always dream and shoot higher than you know how to. Don't bother just to be better than your contemporaries or predecessors. Try to be better than yourself."

-- William Faulkner, writer

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