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RISK: The possibility of gain or loss. Risk the calculated probability of different events happening, is usually contrasted with uncertainty the possibility that any number of things could happen. For example, uncertainty is the possibility that you could win or lose $100 on the flip of a coin. You don't know which will happen, it could go either way. Risk, in contrast, is the 50 percent chance of winning $100 and the 50 percent chance of losing $100 on the flip of the coin. You know (or think you know) that your probability of winning or losing is 50 percent because the coin has a 50 percent chance of coming up either heads or tails.

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SIXTH RULE OF IGNORANCE

The sixth of seven basic rules of the economy, stating that obtaining information is a costly activity that requires resources with alternative uses. As such, no one knows everything and everyone is ignorant about something.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a going out of business sale looking to buy either a small, foam rubber football or an instructional DVD on learning to the play the oboe. Be on the lookout for cardboard boxes.
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The first "Black Friday" on record, a friday marked by a major financial catastrophe, occurred on September 24, 1869 -- A FRIDAY -- when an attempted cornering of the gold market induced a financial crises and economy-wide depression.
"When your values are clear to you, making decisions becomes easier. "

-- Roy Disney, executive

IBRD
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
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